I've got a 'serious' (well for toy soldiers anyway, lol) game on Saturday. The player definitely knows what he is doing and will play smart. I'm fairly comfortable playing the Gondor list, but am not used to so many points! Since we just couldn't coordinate all the young working dads before Christmas, we'll be going for 2500pts 1v1. I presume there will be no houserules, so everything that follows is based around the idea of coping with what someone who is really trying will throw at me from the Evil lists + battlehosts.
Elessar, King of the Reunited Kingdom
Eldarion, Son of the King (Boromir Statline)
Faramir, Prince of Ithilien
Eomir Eodig
Radagast the Brown
Morinethar the Blue (Saruman Statline) (return of the blue Wizards, but on the Good side - based on the suggestion in later Tolkien that they were a successful force for good in SA and TA)
Rohan Royal Knights x 5
Minas Tirith Knights w Shields x 6
Minas Tirith Knights w Shields x 6
Ithilien Warriors x 5 (MT Wars)
MT Archers x 5
Axemen of Lossarnach x 5
Warriors of Anfalas x 5 (MT Wars)
Warriors of Eriador x 5 (MT Wars)
Warriors of Rhohavian x 5 (MT Wars)
Avenger Bolt-thrower w crappy 2' range x 2
Avenger Bolt-thrower w crappy 2' range x 2
Fortune - probably 'Blessing of Galadriel' on Morinethar the Blue to allow some of those great abilities to work, since he lacks the beige wizard's 'touched by destiny'. 'Desperate Heroics' is another possibility.
The theory is that I will need multiple serious duelers (Elessar and Son) with ES, Epic Duel and extra might, to have a credible chance vs Khamul and the Betrayer - before they do too much damage. I need to be able to ensure I can at least overcome the Dwimmerlaik effect and ensure the kill. If Khamul lives too long, he could decide the matchup between battle-line on his own.
Also, I need to plan for monsters. I think the Balrog is not a worry, but Dragons and Mumaks concern me a lot more. I reckon (assuming I go first) Radagast's entanglement spell will help vs the Mumak (we are 100% sure that the interpretation that this causes dmage to the Mumak is correct?) and Morinethar the Blue's (Saruman) Ruin list can combine with Radagast's direct damage spells vs monsters as well. Of course, Boromir should be good vs a Dragon in a duel and Aragorn (plus Faramir for terror managment) is pretty efficient at boosting units in melee vs monsters. Related to that, I presume that you can Dark Fury a unit, then leave the unit with the spellcaster, so he is not there in the fight phase. The formation, not the caster is the recipient of the spell?
Generally I do not rate Avengers at all, but think they could be good given we have to fit 2x 2500 pt units on an 8'x4' and we both like our troops?
I am generally in a 1000pt headspace, so am I realistically planning for contingencies? He will be dissapointed if I am too much of a pushover!